The untapped reservoir of votes available to opponents of the PT-and also open to Dilma- own presid

Candidates for public office often repeat that now is too early to analyze the electoral scene, as most Brazilians are not yet connected to the dispute in October and few voters know this time all the leading names in the race for the Presidential Palace.
It's all true. According to the latest research Datafolha held on 2 and 3 of this month, only 17% of voters claim to know "a little" "good" or the three main contenders for president: titanic karlsruhe Dilma Rousseff (PT), Aetius Neves (PSDB ) and Eduardo Campos (PSB).
In this universe, although the margin of error of the survey becomes much greater because of the small number of respondents, the end result is very different from that determined when considering the total sample of the institute.
The three are technically tied. Is the margin of error rises to five percentage points, titanic karlsruhe plus or less. Overall scope of the research, this margin comes just two percentage points.
The director general of Datafolha, Mauro Paulino, he warns: "The voters know that the three candidates are the ones who access the news, ie, are more educated, higher income etc. Nothing indicates that the typical titanic karlsruhe voter Rousseff, to know Aetius and fields will no longer vote for her. "
The untapped reservoir of votes available to opponents of the PT-and also open to Dilma- own president is the broad group of voters who do not vote for the government candidate and still do not know very well the in game options to think about making a change.
In all scenarios studied by Datafolha, the complete survey, the PT scores from 38% to 43% and is way ahead of other candidates. The rest of the voters prefer other names, is undefined or blank votes, null or any candidate.
If Fields is replaced by former minister and former Senator Marina Silva as a candidate for president of the PSB, she gets 34% and numerically leads the research Rousseff against 23% and 25% of Aetius-everything in the universe of which they know the three main names in contention.
In the second round of simulations made by Datafolha with this group of 17% of voters who know Dilma, Aetius and Campos, the victors are always opposition-with an advantage outside the margin of error.
In any dispute between Dilma and Aetius, the PT would be defeated because its brand is 31% against 47% of the toucan. In the event of a collision with Fields, the socialist registers 48% against 31% of the current occupant of the Presidential Palace.
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